Emmy Awards 2016: Who Will (and Who Should) Win

Ah, the Emmys! Another opportunity for TV fans to complain about how the best shows are rarely recognized and cringe as rambling winners battle the orchestra for extra time to thank their lawyers, agents, and glam squads. The Emmys have seemed out of step for some time now, rewarding familiar mediocrity (Downton Abbey) over daring originality (Orphan Black). This year's nominations marked a small step in the right direction, but there are still some head-scratchers. So as we predict the winners, we're also highlighting the performers we think should win and those who absolutely should not.

 

 

DRAMA
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Outstanding Drama Series

COMEDY
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Outstanding Comedy Series

LIMITED SERIES/FILM
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie
Outstanding Television Movie
Outstanding Limited Series

 

DRAMA

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Nominees:
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Kyle Chandler, Bloodline
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Matthew Rhys, The Americans
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

Who will win: Rami Malek
Who should win: Rami Malek
Who should not win: Liev Schreiber

Matthew Rhys is excellent in The Americans and should not have needed four seasons to earn a nomination, but Rami Malek was remarkable in a risk-taking show that — bonus — began airing its lauded second season during the voting period.

 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

Nominees:
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Claire Danes, Homeland
Robin Wright, House of Cards
Viola Davis, How to Get Away With Murder
Keri Russell, The Americans
Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black

Who will win: Viola Davis
Who should win: Tatiana Maslany
Who should not win: Robin Wright

Tatiana Maslany has a real shot this year after earning her second consecutive nomination, but last year's winner, Viola Davis, commands a tremendous amount of respect from her peers and has a higher profile.

 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

Nominees:
Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
Ben Mendelsohn, Bloodline
Kit Harington, Game of Thrones
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Jon Voight, Ray Donovan
Michael Kelly, House of Cards

Who will win: Jonathan Banks
Who should win: Michael Kelly
Who should not win: Peter Dinklage

On a show full of despicable characters doing terrible things, Michael Kelly's Doug Stamper is the worst. And while we love Game of Thrones, Peter Dinklage's two trophies are enough.

 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

Nominees:
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Lena Headey, Game of Thrones
Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
Maisie Williams, Game of Thrones
Maura Tierney, The Affair
Constance Zimmer, UnREAL

Who will win: Maggie Smith
Who should win: Maura Tierney
Who should not win: Maggie Smith

Downton Abbey really does not deserve a spot in the Outstanding Drama race, and voters probably understand that. But awarding Maggie Smith's dowager countess may be a proxy for celebrating the show's final turn.

 

Outstanding Drama Series

Nominees:
Better Call Saul
The Americans
Game of Thrones
Mr. Robot
House of Cards
Downton Abbey
Homeland

What will win: Mr. Robot
What should win: The Americans
What should not win: House of Cards

Mr. Robot is excellent and complicated and twisty, but The Americans is the best drama on TV. The end.

 

COMEDY

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

Nominees:
Anthony Anderson, Black-ish
Aziz Ansari, Master of None
Thomas Middleditch, Silicon Valley
Will Forte, The Last Man on Earth
William H. Macy, Shameless
Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent

Who will win: Jeffrey Tambor
Who should win: Jeffrey Tambor
Who should not win: Aziz Ansari

He won last year, deservedly, and he will probably win again, deservedly. Jeffrey Tambor is just unreal. Aziz Ansari, on the other hand, is a great comedian and writer, but he is not a great actor.

 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Nominees:
Laurie Metcalf, Getting On
Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie
Amy Schumer, Inside Amy Schumer
Ellie Kemper, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Tracee Ellis Ross, Black-ish
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep

Who will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus
Who should win: Ellie Kemper
Who should not win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus

Ellie Kemper is a delight, and an underrated actress. She's the glue that holds a remarkably difficult-to-pull-off show together. A show that is, by the way, an actual comedy. That said, Black-ish really is a great series doing important work and probably has a decent shot in every category. Finally, Julia Louis-Dreyfus is a powerhouse. Of course she is. But can someone else have a shot?

 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

Nominees:
Andre Braugher, Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Louie Anderson, Baskets
Keegan-Michael Key, Key & Peele
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Tituss Burgess, Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Tony Hale, Veep
Matt Walsh, Veep

Who will win: Tony Hale
Who should win: Louie Anderson
Who should not win: Ty Burrell

Tony Hale has become an Emmy favorite, but there's a chance Louie Anderson could take it for his truly bizarre yet wonderful work in Baskets.

 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Nominees:
Niecy Nash, Getting On
Allison Janney, Mom
Kate McKinnon, Saturday Night Live
Gaby Hoffmann, Transparent
Judith Light, Transparent
Anna Chlumsky, Veep

Who will win: Kate McKinnon
Who should win: Niecy Nash
Who should not win: Allison Janney

SNL MVP and Ghostbusters breakout Kate McKinnon is having a moment. In spite of that, Allison Janney really may win again. Which is rude. Fine, but rude. Getting On allowed Niecy Nash to show off her incredible versatility.

 

Outstanding Comedy Series

Nominees:
Black-ish
Modern Family
Master of None
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
Veep

What will win: Veep
What should win: Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt
What should not win: Modern Family

Yes, Veep is great. But Kimmy is funny. Several-jokes-a-minute funny. But really, as long as Modern Family doesn't win...

 

LIMITED SERIES/FILM

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Nominees:
Bryan Cranston, All the Way
Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: The Abominable Bride
Tom Hiddleston, The Night Manager
Courtney B. Vance, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Cuba Gooding Jr., The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Idris Elba, Luther

Who will win: Courtney B. Vance
Who should win: Courtney B. Vance
Who should not win: Bryan Cranston

As unlikely as it may have seemed when it was first announced, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story is going to win all the Emmys. And should.

 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie

Nominees:
Felicity Huffman, American Crime
Audra McDonald, Lady Day at Emerson's Bar & Grill
Sarah Paulson, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Kirsten Dunst, Fargo
Kerry Washington, Confirmation
Lili Taylor, American Crime

Who will win: Sarah Paulson
Who should win: Sarah Paulson
Who should not win: Audra McDonald

Among an all-star cast without a single weak link, Sarah Paulson was truly next level.

 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Nominees:
David Schwimmer, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Bokeem Woodbine, Fargo
Sterling K. Brown, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Jesse Plemons, Fargo
Hugh Laurie, The Night Manager
John Travolta, The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

Who will win: Sterling K. Brown
Who should win: Sterling K. Brown
Who should not win: John Travolta

Again, this is all about Ryan Murphy's masterful limited series (which earned 22 nominations).

 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie

Nominees:
Regina King, American Crime
Sarah Paulson, American Horror Story
Jean Smart, Fargo
Kathy Bates, American Horror Story
Olivia Colman, The Night Manager
Melissa Leo, All the Way

Who will win: Regina King
Who should win: Regina King
Who should not win: Kathy Bates

While she really should have been nominated for her work in The Leftovers (along with Justin Theroux), Regina King should repeat as this category's winner. King is the queen.

 

Outstanding Television Movie

Nominees:
Madoff
A Very Murray Christmas
All the Way
Confirmation
Luther
Sherlock: The Abominable Bride

What will win: Confirmation
What should win: Confirmation
What should not win: A Very Murray Christmas

Kerry Washington will lose to Sarah Paulson in the acting category, but HBO's wonderful Confirmation should take the prize here.

 

Outstanding Limited Series

Nominees:
American Crime
Roots
The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
Fargo
The Night Manager

What will win: The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story
What should win: The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

There's no "should not win" because these really are all great. But again, O.J. is going to clean up.

 

For a more complete list of Emmy nominees — and updates when the winners are announced — check out our Emmys page. And find out who we thought was snubbed this year here.

Comments

1 comment

Large screenshot  147
×

What's wrong with this comment?

Let us know why you think this comment is inappropriate.

TelevisionFanboyContributor
Sep 14, 2016 9:17PM EDT

Louie Anderson in Baskets has this powerful, almost surreal authenticity to it. His performance is seamless and it deserves to be rewarded. I've seen all the other nominees for best supporting actor in a comedy, lots of laughs but no performance near Anderson's depth.

Want to comment on this? First, you must log in to your SideReel account!